Nürnberg II vs VfL Frohnlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
NUR
1 - 1
ISM
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
WUR
4 - 0
NUR
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
NUR
2 - 0
TSV
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
HEI
0 - 1
NUR
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NUR
3 - 0
FEU
62%
20%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Frohnlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
TSV
1 - 1
FRO
59%
24%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
FRO
1 - 2
HEI
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
FEU
1 - 2
FRO
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
FRO
0 - 1
MEM
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
EIN
0 - 0
FRO
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |