Nürnberg II vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
AUG
0 - 3
NUR
32%
25%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NUR
6 - 0
WUR
63%
20%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
NUR
1 - 3
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 0
NUR
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NUR
2 - 0
RAI
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 2
ING
39%
26%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 1
ROS
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ING
1 - 3
BAY
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 1
SEL
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 1
MEM
42%
27%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |