Nürnberg II vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
WAC
1 - 2
NUR
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
NUR
1 - 5
SSV
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
FUR
1 - 0
NUR
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BAY
1 - 1
NUR
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
NUR
1 - 0
FRO
68%
20%
13%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 0
WUR
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
TSV
5 - 1
BAY
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
FEU
3 - 0
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BAY
3 - 1
HEI
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BAY
0 - 1
MEM
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |