Nürnberg II vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2003 |
SCS
1 - 1
NUR
29%
25%
47%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
NUR
0 - 4
ISM
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NUR
1 - 2
WEI
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 3
NUR
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
NUR
4 - 1
JRE
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2003 |
BAY
2 - 1
WEI
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAY
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
BAY
0 - 2
JRE
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
BAY
1 - 0
BAY
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
UNT
2 - 1
BAY
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |