NuPS vs FC Espoo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NuPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
EPS
2 - 3
NUP
29%
20%
52%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
NUP
4 - 0
EBK
20%
19%
61%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +3 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 7
NUP
5%
9%
86%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
NUP
3 - 1
ESP
41%
21%
38%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
NUP
2 - 0
GRI
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Espoo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCE
63%
18%
19%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FCE
6 - 1
FCK
94%
5%
2%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
EPS
3 - 0
FCE
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
TOO
1 - 2
FCE
52%
20%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 4
EBK
21%
18%
61%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |