Nuorese Calcio vs AC Montichiari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuorese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
BV5
2 - 1
NUO
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
NUO
1 - 2
LEC
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
NUO
1 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 0
NUO
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
NUO
3 - 1
FSD
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ACM
1 - 1
CUN
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
FSD
1 - 0
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ACM
0 - 0
PER
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 1
ACM
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ACM
2 - 0
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |