Numancia vs Xuventud Cabañas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 0
NUM
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NUM
6 - 0
EST
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 5
NUM
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NUM
1 - 0
ADM
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NUM
1 - 0
MON
86%
10%
5%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Xuventud Cabañas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
XCA
2 - 1
ROS
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CUL
0 - 1
XCA
31%
19%
50%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SAD
5 - 0
XCA
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
XCA
0 - 9
GAL
7%
12%
80%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
XCA
2 - 0
EST
53%
19%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |