Numancia B vs La Virgen del Camino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
12º
16º
16º
45
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
3 - 1
NUM
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NUM
3 - 3
STM
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SDA
1 - 0
NUM
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 0
NUM
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NUM
2 - 0
PAL
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
La Virgen del Camino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LVC
0 - 0
BEC
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
LVC
62%
22%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LVC
1 - 0
CAB
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LVC
0 - 1
CUL
5%
12%
83%
|
23 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LVC
1 - 2
CFS
70%
19%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |