Nueva Concepción vs Coatepeque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
COB
2 - 1
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NUE
0 - 1
COB
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
MIX
3 - 0
NUE
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NUE
4 - 0
ESC
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 0
AUR
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
LAG
3 - 0
COA
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
COA
4 - 2
PUE
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
XIN
1 - 0
COA
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COA
1 - 2
MIX
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 1
COA
40%
26%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |