Nueva Concepción vs Chimaltenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 0
NUE
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
NUE
4 - 2
REU
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 1
NUE
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NUE
2 - 0
SOL
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 1
NUE
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
MIX
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 0
CHI
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 2
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
COM
1 - 1
CHI
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CHI
5 - 0
SPD
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |