Nueva Concepción vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 3
PUE
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
4 - 0
NUE
77%
16%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
NUE
3 - 1
HUE
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
NUE
45%
26%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
IZT
1 - 0
NUE
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
DEP
20%
25%
54%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
HUE
1 - 0
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
AUR
42%
25%
32%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LAG
5 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -3 |