Ñublense vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
COB
0 - 2
NUB
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NUB
0 - 3
HUA
24%
24%
51%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
NUB
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
NUB
2 - 1
CSL
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
NUB
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 1
COB
56%
22%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 3
UNI
43%
25%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CSL
1 - 2
UCO
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
COB
3 - 3
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCO
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |