Ñublense vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NUB
1 - 2
CSD
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
UCH
1 - 0
NUB
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 1
NUB
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
NUB
2 - 1
MAG
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 0
NUB
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 2
ANT
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
CUR
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 2
SWA
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
CUR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 2
CSD
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |