Ñublense vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
NUB
3 - 1
DLI
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
DLI
1 - 1
NUB
19%
19%
62%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
NUB
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 3
NUB
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
CON
4 - 0
FVC
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
FVC
1 - 0
CON
36%
24%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 1
CON
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 1
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |