NTSV Strand vs Hartenholm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NTSV Strand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 0
NTS
18%
20%
63%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NTS
1 - 0
SCH
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EIC
1 - 0
NTS
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TUR
0 - 0
NTS
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 2
NTS
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 1
HUL
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FLE
2 - 0
HAR
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 3
TOD
13%
18%
69%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 3
KRO
13%
19%
69%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 2
HAR
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |