NTNUI vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
70%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NTNUI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NTN
3 - 1
CSK
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BYA
2 - 3
NTN
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
NTN
3 - 3
STE
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
STJ
2 - 4
NTN
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
NTN
2 - 3
KOL
7%
12%
82%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
MOS
1 - 2
NAR
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
NAR
1 - 1
VID
33%
24%
42%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
NAR
1 - 2
BYA
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
KOL
1 - 13
NAR
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LEV
5 - 1
NAR
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |