NTNUI vs Kolstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
81.8%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NTNUI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ORK
4 - 0
NTN
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
NTN
1 - 1
ROD
20%
20%
61%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
RAN
4 - 1
NTN
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NTN
2 - 5
ROR
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NIL
2 - 4
NTN
16%
17%
66%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kolstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KOL
10 - 0
BIL
93%
6%
2%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
KIL
1 - 3
KOL
27%
20%
53%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KOL
5 - 1
VER
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
CSK
0 - 4
KOL
22%
19%
59%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
KOL
5 - 0
BYA
85%
9%
6%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |