Nový Jičín vs Bílovec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+115%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
10º
6º
38
2º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nový Jičín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
JIS
2 - 1
NOV
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
5 - 0
NSO
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +4 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 3
FPR
49%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 3
NOV
9%
14%
77%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 3
BOS
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Bílovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BIL
2 - 2
VAL
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FKP
1 - 2
BIL
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
BIL
1 - 1
FRY
24%
24%
53%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
SKD
1 - 1
BIL
21%
20%
59%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
BIL
72%
15%
13%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |