Novo Hamburgo vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
64.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SCI
2 - 0
NOV
85%
12%
3%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
SLU
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
NOV
68%
21%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 1
YPI
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PEL
0 - 0
NOV
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PPE
0 - 1
PAL
14%
24%
62%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
INT
2 - 1
PPE
16%
24%
61%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
PPE
2 - 1
COR
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
PPE
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PPE
2 - 3
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |