Novigrad vs NK Buje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NNH
0 - 1
NOV
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
NMF
69%
17%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VNV
0 - 2
NOV
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
OPA
4 - 2
NOV
41%
24%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
5 - 1
ORI
69%
18%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
NK Buje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NKB
0 - 3
NKG
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NHV
3 - 2
NKB
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NKB
1 - 0
NKC
51%
23%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
NKB
2 - 2
JAP
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ROV
0 - 2
NKB
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |