Novelda UCF B vs Aspe B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 5
NUC
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NUC
2 - 3
ELD
29%
21%
51%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
NUC
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NUC
3 - 1
SVN
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PET
1 - 3
NUC
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aspe B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 1
CUI
20%
19%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BIA
6 - 0
ASP
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -3 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ASP
3 - 2
PEA
79%
12%
9%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
COC
2 - 2
ASP
14%
16%
71%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 4
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -2 |