Novelda CF vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
NOV
1 - 3
MLL
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
NOV
2 - 1
ELC
34%
29%
37%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
HOS
1 - 0
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
NOV
3 - 1
ELC
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
GIM
1 - 1
NOV
35%
29%
36%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
MUR
2 - 1
HOS
59%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
ALZ
1 - 1
MUR
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
GIM
2 - 2
MUR
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
MUR
0 - 2
GET
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
GET
1 - 1
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |