Novelda CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
BEN
2 - 0
NOV
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
NOV
4 - 0
ADR
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
PAI
3 - 1
NOV
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
CDB
1 - 0
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
NOV
4 - 2
ELD
46%
24%
29%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
RJA
4 - 0
ILI
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
CAL
1 - 2
RJA
76%
15%
10%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
XER
4 - 0
RJA
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
LIN
1 - 3
RJA
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |