Novelda CF vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
ALM
1 - 2
NOV
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
3 - 2
CFC
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
ELD
4 - 0
NOV
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
NOV
2 - 1
IMP
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
YEC
3 - 2
NOV
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
RAY
1 - 3
ELC
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
ORI
3 - 1
RAY
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
RAY
4 - 1
AGU
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
CIE
3 - 0
RAY
22%
24%
55%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
RAY
2 - 2
ATC
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |