Novelda CF vs CF La Nucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
YEC
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ALZ
2 - 1
NOV
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
YEC
1 - 2
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 2
ACE
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 1
NOV
23%
27%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NUC
4 - 1
JOV
45%
27%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 1
NUC
43%
26%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NUC
1 - 0
UTI
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
4 - 1
NUC
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NUC
2 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |