Novelda CF vs CF La Nucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 2
NOV
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
ELD
66%
21%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALZ
1 - 0
NOV
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UTI
0 - 1
NOV
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 0
GAN
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NUC
3 - 0
CRE
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ACE
0 - 3
NUC
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NUC
1 - 1
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 1
NUC
26%
26%
47%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
NUC
3 - 1
LLO
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |