Novelda B vs UD Castellonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+171%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
IDE
2 - 1
NOV
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
6 - 1
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
TOU
18%
19%
62%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SEN
2 - 3
NOV
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
UDC
6 - 0
EMF
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 4
UDC
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UDC
2 - 0
ALC
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UDC
3 - 0
SPO
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
IDE
1 - 1
UDC
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |