Novara vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 2
SAS
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 6
NOV
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
0 - 2
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
5 - 1
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 2
CTT
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 0
VIC
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
VAR
33%
28%
40%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIC
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 1
TER
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |