Novara vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 2
VNZ
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
COM
2 - 1
NOV
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
NOV
1 - 1
USA
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
PAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 4
GEN
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 1
REG
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 0
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
MES
1 - 2
SSS
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
PAL
3 - 0
SSS
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SSS
0 - 2
PRO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |