Novara vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 1
NOV
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 0
CRO
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 1
NOV
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 1
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
PES
1 - 0
VIC
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 1
PES
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 1
PES
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
PES
4 - 2
POR
52%
25%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
PES
1 - 2
ASC
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |