Novara vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
USA
1 - 0
NOV
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 0
PIS
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
NOV
32%
30%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GER
2 - 1
NOV
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
COM
0 - 0
PRO
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
COM
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
COM
2 - 0
PON
43%
28%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
USA
1 - 1
COM
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |