Novalja vs Uljanik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
IMO
1 - 3
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
NOV
1 - 0
VRB
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
USK
0 - 1
NOV
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
NOV
3 - 1
INT
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
MOS
3 - 1
NOV
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Uljanik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
ULJ
1 - 0
IMO
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
VRB
1 - 4
ULJ
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
ULJ
0 - 0
USK
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
INT
1 - 1
ULJ
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
ULJ
1 - 2
MOS
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |