Nova Russas vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Russas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITA
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
TIR
6 - 0
NOV
78%
15%
8%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
NOV
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
IGU
1 - 1
NOV
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
UNI
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 3
FER
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
FER
30%
26%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
TIR
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 0
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |