Nova Mutum vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
DBO
1 - 1
NME
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NME
2 - 2
ACA
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
CUI
3 - 2
NME
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
NME
0 - 0
SIN
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
NME
1 - 0
LUV
50%
23%
26%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
URO
2 - 1
SOR
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SIN
2 - 1
URO
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
URO
2 - 1
LTD
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ACA
2 - 1
URO
18%
20%
63%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
URO
1 - 2
CUI
8%
22%
70%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |