Nottwil vs FC Koniz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
70.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Koniz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCK
3 - 1
SCB
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCK
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCK
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
FCZ
1 - 1
FCK
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
FCK
1 - 1
STG
67%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |