Notts County vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
NOT
3 - 5
WAT
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
EVE
4 - 1
NOT
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1984 |
HUR
1 - 2
NOT
44%
23%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
NOT
2 - 5
LEI
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
MID
2 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
CRY
1 - 0
MID
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1984 |
MID
2 - 0
BOU
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
GRI
0 - 0
MID
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
MID
0 - 0
OPA
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |