Notts County vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
NOT
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
NOT
0 - 3
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
NOT
4 - 2
DON
24%
22%
54%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
NOT
0 - 0
OLD
43%
26%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 2
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 4
CUM
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 1
STC
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 1
CUM
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CUM
3 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |