Notts County vs Boreham Wood analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BPO
4 - 0
NOT
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 1
NOT
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 2
NOT
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 0
LUT
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 2
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Boreham Wood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BRO
1 - 0
BOR
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 2
NOT
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 1
WOK
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
BOR
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 0
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |