Premier League Sub 18 North Round 7

Nottingham Forest U18 vs Middlesbrough U18 analysis

Nottingham Forest U18 Middlesbrough U18
28 ELO 26
-3.7% Tilt 4.6%
11867º General ELO ranking 12434º
683º Country ELO ranking 726º
ELO win probability
43%
Nottingham Forest U18
22.9%
Draw
34.1%
Middlesbrough U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest U18
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.1%
Win probability
Middlesbrough U18
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nottingham Forest U18
-54%
-36%
Middlesbrough U18

ELO progression

Nottingham Forest U18
Middlesbrough U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nottingham Forest U18
Nottingham Forest U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2022
NOT
Nottingham Forest U18
2 - 1
Man. City U18
MCI
10%
16%
75%
24 45 21 0
12 Mar. 2022
LEE
Leeds United U18
4 - 4
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
53%
21%
26%
24 24 0 0
26 Feb. 2022
MID
Middlesbrough U18
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
68%
17%
15%
22 28 6 +2
19 Feb. 2022
NOT
Nottingham Forest U18
0 - 1
Derby County U18
DER
44%
23%
34%
23 23 0 -1
12 Feb. 2022
NOT
Nottingham Forest U18
0 - 1
Everton U18
EVE
32%
23%
46%
24 28 4 -1

Matches

Middlesbrough U18
Middlesbrough U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2022
EVE
Everton U18
1 - 1
Middlesbrough U18
MID
44%
22%
34%
27 27 0 0
12 Mar. 2022
MID
Middlesbrough U18
0 - 1
Burnley U18
BUR
59%
20%
21%
27 25 2 0
05 Mar. 2022
DER
Derby County U18
1 - 1
Middlesbrough U18
MID
36%
22%
42%
27 24 3 0
26 Feb. 2022
MID
Middlesbrough U18
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
68%
17%
15%
28 22 6 -1
22 Feb. 2022
NEW
Newcastle U18
0 - 1
Middlesbrough U18
MID
21%
20%
59%
28 20 8 0