Championship Round 40

Nottingham Forest vs Reading analysis

Nottingham Forest Reading
74 ELO 80
2.5% Tilt -10.3%
86º General ELO ranking 1602º
16º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
34.4%
Nottingham Forest
26.5%
Draw
39.1%
Reading

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.1%
Win probability
Reading
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nottingham Forest
-2%
-5%
Reading

ELO progression

Nottingham Forest
Reading
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2011
LEE
Leeds United
4 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
57%
24%
20%
75 75 0 0
19 Mar. 2011
SWA
Swansea City
3 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
43%
29%
28%
76 76 0 -1
12 Mar. 2011
NTT
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Doncaster Rovers
DON
61%
22%
16%
76 67 9 0
08 Mar. 2011
SHE
Sheffield United
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
32%
29%
38%
76 65 11 0
05 Mar. 2011
NTT
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Hull City
HUL
49%
25%
26%
77 75 2 -1

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2011
REA
Reading
2 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
72%
18%
10%
80 64 16 0
02 Apr. 2011
REA
Reading
2 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
50%
25%
25%
80 79 1 0
19 Mar. 2011
BAR
Barnsley
0 - 1
Reading
REA
23%
26%
51%
80 67 13 0
13 Mar. 2011
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 0
Reading
REA
70%
19%
12%
80 89 9 0
08 Mar. 2011
IPS
Ipswich Town
1 - 3
Reading
REA
33%
26%
41%
79 73 6 +1