Championship Round 9

Nottingham Forest vs Reading analysis

Nottingham Forest Reading
78 ELO 56
-4.3% Tilt 6.7%
86º General ELO ranking 1605º
16º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
82.7%
Nottingham Forest
12.3%
Draw
5%
Reading

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5%
Win probability
Reading
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nottingham Forest
-2%
-8%
Reading

ELO progression

Nottingham Forest
Reading
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 1998
STO
Stockport County
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
25%
26%
49%
78 63 15 0
13 Apr. 1998
NTT
Nottingham Forest
3 - 0
Wolves
WOL
69%
20%
12%
77 69 8 +1
11 Apr. 1998
BRA
Bradford City
0 - 3
Nottingham Forest
NTT
22%
26%
52%
77 61 16 0
05 Apr. 1998
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
Ipswich Town
IPS
53%
24%
23%
76 75 1 +1
01 Apr. 1998
NTT
Nottingham Forest
3 - 0
Sheffield United
SHE
60%
22%
18%
76 72 4 0

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 1998
WOL
Wolves
3 - 1
Reading
REA
67%
21%
12%
57 68 11 0
13 Apr. 1998
REA
Reading
0 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
17%
27%
56%
57 78 21 0
10 Apr. 1998
CHA
Charlton Athletic
3 - 0
Reading
REA
69%
20%
12%
57 70 13 0
04 Apr. 1998
REA
Reading
2 - 0
Stoke City
STO
53%
25%
22%
56 56 0 +1
28 Mar. 1998
IPS
Ipswich Town
1 - 0
Reading
REA
77%
16%
8%
57 75 18 -1