FA Cup . Last 16

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United analysis

Nottingham Forest Manchester United
86 ELO 96
-0.2% Tilt -6.7%
141º General ELO ranking 11º
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12.2%
Nottingham Forest
19.1%
Draw
68.6%
Manchester United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.6%
Win probability
Manchester United
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
ASV
Aston Villa
4 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
71%
18%
11%
86 93 7 0
17 Feb. 2024
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 0
West Ham
WHU
22%
24%
54%
86 93 7 0
10 Feb. 2024
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 3
Newcastle
NEW
21%
24%
56%
86 94 8 0
07 Feb. 2024
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Bristol City
BRI
67%
19%
14%
86 78 8 0
04 Feb. 2024
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
56%
23%
21%
86 88 2 0

Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 2
Fulham
FUL
68%
19%
13%
96 89 7 0
18 Feb. 2024
LUT
Luton Town
1 - 2
Manchester United
MUD
12%
20%
69%
96 84 12 0
11 Feb. 2024
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester United
MUD
34%
24%
42%
96 93 3 0
04 Feb. 2024
MUD
Manchester United
3 - 0
West Ham
WHU
52%
24%
25%
96 93 3 0
01 Feb. 2024
WOL
Wolves
3 - 4
Manchester United
MUD
20%
24%
56%
96 90 6 0
X