Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ASV
4 - 2
NTT
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NTT
2 - 0
WHU
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NTT
2 - 3
NEW
21%
24%
56%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
NTT
1 - 1
BRI
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
NTT
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MUD
1 - 2
FUL
68%
19%
13%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 2
MUD
12%
20%
69%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 2
MUD
34%
24%
42%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MUD
3 - 0
WHU
52%
24%
25%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 4
MUD
20%
24%
56%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |