Nottingham Forest vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
NEW
2 - 2
NTT
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 1
NTT
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
NTT
3 - 5
ARS
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
PNE
0 - 1
NTT
59%
20%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
NTT
2 - 0
PNE
44%
24%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
CAR
2 - 1
BUR
30%
23%
47%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1960 |
PNE
1 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1960 |
WBA
1 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
CAR
3 - 1
WBA
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
CAR
2 - 0
FUL
37%
23%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |