Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
NTT
1 - 1
OXF
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
WHU
1 - 0
NTT
32%
26%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
NTT
2 - 1
LEE
42%
27%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
CHL
1 - 0
NTT
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1996 |
NTT
2 - 0
STO
76%
15%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
ARS
1 - 1
COV
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1996 |
SHE
1 - 0
ARS
22%
25%
53%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
MID
2 - 3
ARS
29%
29%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
41%
28%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |