Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
NTT
2 - 0
BRI
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1979 |
NTT
3 - 1
YOR
94%
5%
1%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
MID
1 - 3
NTT
32%
30%
38%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1979 |
WAT
0 - 0
NTT
19%
28%
53%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1979 |
NTT
3 - 1
WAT
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ARS
0 - 1
WOL
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1979 |
QPR
1 - 2
ARS
33%
28%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1979 |
ARS
0 - 0
MID
69%
20%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
MUD
0 - 2
ARS
47%
26%
28%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1979 |
ARS
2 - 0
NOT
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |