Nottingham Forest Sub 21 vs Leeds United Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
9º
3º
43
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
WBA
1 - 5
NOT
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
NOR
12%
19%
70%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 1
NOT
62%
18%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
STC
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
DCO
0 - 1
NOT
33%
22%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
VCF
8 - 0
LUS
91%
7%
2%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
4 - 2
NWC
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 0
LUS
43%
22%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MID
2 - 4
LUS
22%
22%
55%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 0
LUS
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |