Nottingen vs Villingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+149%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 2
BAL
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ULM
2 - 2
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 3
NEC
62%
20%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 4
NOT
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
NOT
2 - 1
BAH
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 2
ULM
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NEC
3 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 1
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIL
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
VFR
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |