Notre Dame vs UWI Blackbirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
7º
11º
11º
31
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 56 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 43 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 38 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 31 |
8º
|
67% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 23 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 7 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
88% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notre Dame
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 4
BRI
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SSA
0 - 5
NOT
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 1
PAR
57%
19%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ELL
1 - 1
NOT
41%
22%
38%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
UWI
2 - 2
NOT
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
UWI Blackbirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UWI
3 - 3
SAL
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 0
UWI
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
UWI
5 - 0
SSA
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 2
UWI
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
UWI
2 - 2
NOT
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -13 |