Notre Dame vs Duke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notre Dame
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NDF
1 - 0
PIP
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CET
0 - 2
NDF
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NDF
2 - 1
VIC
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
VTH
2 - 1
NDF
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NDF
1 - 0
NCS
56%
21%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Duke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
DBD
2 - 3
CET
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PIP
3 - 2
DBD
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
DBD
3 - 1
LOC
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SYO
0 - 1
DBD
23%
21%
57%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NCA
0 - 3
DBD
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |