Notch vs WBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
62.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
WBC
4 - 2
NOT
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SNL
4 - 1
NOT
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
WUN
3 - 1
NOT
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 0
PAP
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 1
PVV
51%
22%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
WBC
4 - 2
NOT
71%
16%
13%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
WBC
5 - 0
PAP
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
VIC
4 - 3
WBC
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NIS
2 - 1
WBC
9%
12%
80%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
WBC
2 - 1
ACO
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |